Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.316720 0.369468 0.428482 0.499441 0.582520 0.676793 0.792013
2025-01-05 0.227622 0.294775 0.378260 0.489889 0.635605 0.819865 1.071386
2025-01-12 0.182147 0.253259 0.348255 0.484865 0.677059 0.938989 1.325102
2025-01-19 0.153915 0.226714 0.329815 0.487155 0.722519 1.063634 1.599407
2025-01-26 0.139137 0.215492 0.329276 0.512174 0.800883 1.242551 1.976188
2025-02-02 0.127053 0.205778 0.328547 0.535279 0.877739 1.427745 2.388675
2025-02-09 0.115566 0.194920 0.323875 0.550408 0.942552 1.600975 2.805845
2025-02-16 0.104200 0.182405 0.314393 0.555456 0.990026 1.750267 3.202432
2025-02-23 0.093276 0.168997 0.301351 0.551982 1.021175 1.874003 3.569656
2025-03-02 0.082139 0.153643 0.282758 0.535614 1.025912 1.949509 3.856048
2025-03-09 0.076861 0.148305 0.281463 0.550939 1.091740 2.146739 4.406210
2025-03-16 0.070471 0.139990 0.273465 0.552040 1.129482 2.293714 4.875361
2025-03-23 0.065628 0.134257 0.270046 0.562449 1.188786 2.494644 5.494802
2025-03-30 0.059099 0.124321 0.257102 0.551658 1.202659 2.604053 5.934681
2025-04-06 0.053868 0.116400 0.247254 0.545982 1.226472 2.737403 6.448349
2025-04-13 0.049957 0.110801 0.241571 0.548569 1.268826 2.917148 7.097874
2025-04-20 0.048481 0.110370 0.246990 0.576834 1.373947 3.254457 8.181191
2025-04-27 0.046898 0.109485 0.251258 0.602940 1.477538 3.602556 9.347897
2025-05-04 0.044779 0.107083 0.251746 0.620037 1.561491 3.914678 10.472751
2025-05-11 0.042100 0.103013 0.247820 0.625742 1.617593 4.164976 11.473923
2025-05-18 0.039093 0.097776 0.240464 0.621816 1.648271 4.354164 12.338386
2025-05-25 0.035571 0.090831 0.228096 0.603319 1.637781 4.433186 12.904333
2025-06-01 0.034227 0.089305 0.229185 0.620637 1.727142 4.795534 14.356621